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Sanlam's Consensus Estimates for 2017

The information was compiled as at 13 February 2017 based on input from South African sell-side analysts with current research coverage of Sanlam (SLMJ.J). A total of 4 analysts contributed. The information was based on the analysts’ forecasts as published in their most recent research reports. The next consensus figures will be available in August 2017.

Analysts' Consensus Estimates

The tables indicate:

  1. Analysts' Consensus estimates
  2. Analysts' Consensus estimates (excluding outliers, i.e. high and low estimates)
FY2016 High Low Consensus Consensus
(ex-high/low)
Net result from financial services cents per share 390.9 366.3 381.2 383.8
Normalised headline earnings cents per share 470.1 398.9 417.2 399.8
Dividend cents per share 269.5 250.3 261.7 263.4
VNB (net) R million 1 483 1 419 1 453 1 455
PVNBP (net) R million 62 306 56 826 59 076 58 586
VNB Margins (net) % 2.50% 2.38% 2.46% 2.48%
Group Equity Value R per share 57.09 54.12 55.33 55.06
FUM R billion 816 768 793 795

Net result from financial services

cents per share
High: 390.9
Low: 366.3
Consensus: 381.2
Consensus (ex-high/low): 383.8

Normalised headline earnings

cents per share
High: 470.1
Low: 398.9
Consensus: 417.2
Consensus (ex-high/low): 399.8

Dividend

cents per share
High: 269.5
Low: 250.3
Consensus: 261.7
Consensus (ex-high/low): 263.4

VNB (net)

R million
High: 1 483
Low: 1 419
Consensus: 1 453
Consensus (ex-high/low): 1 455

PVNBP (net)

R million
High: 63 306
Low: 56 826
Consensus: 59 076
Consensus (ex-high/low): 58 586

VNB Margins(net)

%
High: 2.50%
Low: 2.38%
Consensus: 2.46%
Consensus (ex-high/low): 2.48%

Group Equity Value

R per share
High: 57.09
Low: 54.12
Consensus: 55.33
Consensus (ex-high/low): 55.06

FUM

R billion
High: 816
Low: 768
Consensus: 793
Consensus (ex-high/low): 795
FY2017 High Low Consensus Consensus
(ex-high/low)
Net result from financial services cents per share 436.5 418.5 425.8 424.0
Normalised headline earnings cents per share 533.7 505.1 521.1 522.7
Dividend cents per share 300.0 266.8 286.0 288.5
VNB (net) R million 1 765 1 591 1 675 1 673
PVNBP (net) R million 69 161 61 894 64 462 63 397
VNB Margins (net) % 2.75% 2.40% 2.60% 2.64%
Group Equity Value R per share 63.05 59.60 60.90 60.48
FUM (Rbn) R billion 912 804 849 840

Net result from financial services

cents per share
High: 436.5
Low: 418.5
Consensus: 425.8
Consensus (ex-high/low): 424.0

Normalised headline earnings

cents per share
High: 533.7
Low: 505.1
Consensus: 521.1
Consensus (ex-high/low): 522.7

Dividend

cents per share
High: 300.0
Low: 266.8
Consensus: 286.0
Consensus (ex-high/low): 288.5

VNB (net)

R million
High: 1 765
Low: 1 591
Consensus: 1 675
Consensus (ex-high/low): 1 673

PVNBP (net)

R million
High: 69 161
Low: 61 894
Consensus: 64 462
Consensus (ex-high/low): 63 397

VNB Margins (net)

%
High: 2.75%
Low: 2.40%
Consensus: 2.60%
Consensus (ex-high/low): 2.64%

Group Equity Value

R per share
High: 63.05
Low: 59.60
Consensus: 60.90
Consensus (ex-high/low): 60.48

FUM (Rbn)

R billion
High: 912
Low: 804
Consensus: 849
Consensus (ex-high/low): 840

VNB = Value of new life insurance business
PVNBP = Present value of new life insurance business premiums

Charts

The charts indicate :

  1. Analysts' Consensus estimates
  2. Analysts' Consensus estimates (excluding outliers, i.e. high and low estimates)
  3. Range of Analysts' estimates (from high to low estimates)
Consensus chart 1
Consensus chart 2
Consensus chart 2
Consensus chart 4
Consensus chart 5
Consensus chart 6
Consensus chart 7
Consensus chart 8

PVNBP = Present value of new life insurance business premiums

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