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Sanlam's Consensus Estimates for 2016

The information was compiled as at 10 August 2016 based on input from South African sell-side analysts with current research coverage of Sanlam (SLMJ.J). A total of 6 analysts contributed. The information was based on the analysts’ forecasts as published in their most recent research reports. The next consensus figures will be available in February 2017.

Analysts' Consensus Estimates

The tables indicate:

  1. Analysts' consensus estimates
  2. Analysts' consensus estimates (excluding outliers, i.e. high and low estimates)
1H2016 High Low Consensus Consensus
(ex-high/low)
Net result from financial services cents per share 197.0 186.9 190.8 190.2
Normalised headline earnings cents per share 266.0 209.1 233.2 230.3
Dividend per share cents per share - - - -
VNB (net) R million 721 654 689.1 689.9
PVNBP (net) R million 27 801 25 634 26 379 26 210
PVNBP Margins (net) % 2.69% 2.55% 2.61% 2.63%
Group Equity Value R per share 55.00 52.76 53.48 53.28
SIM funds under management R billion 831 814 822 821

Net result from financial services

cents per share
High: 197.0
Low: 186.9
Consensus: 190.8
Consensus (ex-high/low): 190.2

Normalised headline earnings

cents per share
High: 266.0
Low: 209.1
Consensus: 233.2
Consensus (ex-high/low): 230.3

Dividend per share

cents per share
High: -
Low: -
Consensus: -
Consensus (ex-high/low): -

VNB (net)

R million
High: 721
Low: 654
Consensus: 689.1
Consensus (ex-high/low): 689.9

PVNBP (net)

R million
High: 27 801
Low: 25 634
Consensus: 26 379
Consensus (ex-high/low): 26 210

PVNBP Margins(net)

%
High: 2.69%
Low: 2.55%
Consensus: 2.61%
Consensus (ex-high/low): 2.63%

Group Equity Value

R per share
High: 55.00
Low: 52.76
Consensus: 53.48
Consensus (ex-high/low): 53.28

SIM funds under management

R billion
High: 831
Low: 814
Consensus: 822
Consensus (ex-high/low): 821
FY2016 High Low Consensus Consensus
(ex-high/low)
Net result from financial services cents per share 412.3 378.3 388.2 384.7
Normalised headline earnings cents per share 526.0 428.0 477.9 478.3
Dividend per share cents per share 283.0 262.2 270.2 269.0
VNB (net) R million 1 589 1 456 1 536 1 542
PVNBP (net) R million 59 533 56 010 56 802 56 317
PVNBP Margins (net) % 2.79% 2.57% 2.70% 2.74%
Group Equity Value R per share 59.11 56.08 57.21 57.02
SIM funds under management R billion 891 842 862 859

Net result from financial services

cents per share
High: 412.3
Low: 378.3
Consensus: 388.2
Consensus (ex-high/low): 384.7

Normalised headline earnings

cents per share
High: 526.0
Low: 428.0
Consensus: 477.9
Consensus (ex-high/low): 478.3

Dividend per share

cents per share
High: 283.0
Low: 262.2
Consensus: 270.2
Consensus (ex-high/low): 269.0

VNB (net)

R million
High: 1 589
Low: 1 456
Consensus: 1 536
Consensus (ex-high/low): 1 542

PVNBP (net)

R million
High: 59 533
Low: 56 010
Consensus: 56 802
Consensus (ex-high/low): 56 317

PVNBP Margins (net)

%
High: 2.79%
Low: 2.57%
Consensus: 2.70%
Consensus (ex-high/low): 2.74%

Group Equity Value

R per share
High: 59.11
Low: 56.08
Consensus: 57.21
Consensus (ex-high/low): 57.02

SIM funds under management

R billion
High: 891
Low: 842
Consensus: 862
Consensus (ex-high/low): 859

VNB = Value of new life insurance business
PVNBP = Present value of new life insurance business premiums

Charts

The charts indicate :

  1. Analysts' Consensus estimates
  2. Analysts' Consensus estimates (excluding outliers, i.e. high and low estimates)
  3. Range of Analysts' estimates (from high to low estimates)
Consensus chart 1
Consensus chart 2
Consensus chart 2
Consensus chart 4
Consensus chart 5
Consensus chart 6
Consensus chart 7
Consensus chart 8

PVNBP = Present value of new life insurance business premiums

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