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Sanlam's Consensus Estimates for 2017 and 2018

The information was compiled as at 6 February 2018 based on input from South African sell-side analysts with current research coverage of Sanlam (SLMJ.J). A total of 6 analysts contributed. The information was based on the analysts’ forecasts as published in their most recent research reports. The next consensus figures will be available in August 2018.

Analysts' Consensus Estimates

The tables indicate:

  1. Analysts' Consensus estimates
  2. Analysts' Consensus estimates (excluding outliers, i.e. high and low estimates)
FY 2017 High Low Consensus Consensus
(ex-high/low)
Net result from financial services cents per share 425.3 398.2 414.7 416.2
Normalised headline earnings cents per share 492.0 459.7 474.3 473.5
Dividend cents per share 294.8 282.7 288.8 288.8
VNB (net) R million 1 818 1 575 1 722 1 735
PVNBP (net) R million 66 100 60 492 61 969 61 306
PVNBP Margins (net) % 2.92% 2.58% 2.78% 2.83%
Group Equity Value R per share 60.32 55.68 58.24 58.36
SIM funds under management R billion 916 837 875 875

Net result from financial services

cents per share
High: 425.3
Low: 398.2
Consensus: 414.7
Consensus (ex-high/low):

Normalised headline earnings

cents per share
High: 492.0
Low: 459.7
Consensus: 474.3
Consensus (ex-high/low):

Dividend

cents per share
High: -
Low: -
Consensus: -
Consensus (ex-high/low): -

VNB (net)

R million
High: 1 818
Low: 1 575
Consensus: 1 722
Consensus (ex-high/low):

PVNBP (net)

R million
High: 66 100
Low: 60 492
Consensus: 61 969
Consensus (ex-high/low): 61 306

VNB Margins(net)

%
High: 2.92%
Low: 2.58%
Consensus: 2.78%
Consensus (ex-high/low): 2.83%

Group Equity Value

R per share
High: 60.32
Low: 55.68
Consensus: 58.24
Consensus (ex-high/low):

SIM funds under management

R billion
High: 916
Low: 837
Consensus: 875
Consensus (ex-high/low): 875
FY 2018 High Low Consensus Consensus
(ex-high/low)
Net result from financial services cents per share 498.0 445.4 468.1 466.4
Normalised headline earnings cents per share 578.9 505.7 538.4 536.5
Dividend cents per share 355.0 306.8 323.6 319.9
VNB (net) R million 2 010 1 760 1 903 1 911
PVNBP (net) R million 72 700 64 509 66 921 66 079
PVNBP Margins (net) % 3.01% 2.73% 2.84% 2.89%
Group Equity Value R per share 68.41 61.29 65.35 65.60
SIM funds under management R billion 1 022 896 952 948

Net result from financial services

cents per share
High: 498.0
Low: 445.4
Consensus: 468.1
Consensus (ex-high/low):

Normalised headline earnings

cents per share
High: 578.9
Low: 505.7
Consensus: 538.4
Consensus (ex-high/low):

Dividend

cents per share
High: 355.0
Low: 306.8
Consensus: 323.6
Consensus (ex-high/low):

VNB (net)

R million
High: 2 010/td>
Low: 1 760 /td>
Consensus: 1 903
Consensus (ex-high/low): 1 911

PVNBP (net)

R million
High: 72 700
Low: 64 509
Consensus: 66 921
Consensus (ex-high/low): 66 079

PVNBP Margins (net)

%
High: 3.01%
Low: 2.73%
Consensus: 2.84%
Consensus (ex-high/low): 2.89%

Group Equity Value

R per share
High: 68.41
Low: 61.29
Consensus: 65.35
Consensus (ex-high/low):

SIM funds under management

R billion
High: 1 022
Low: 896
Consensus: 952
Consensus (ex-high/low): 948

VNB = Value of new life insurance business
PVNBP = Present value of new life insurance business premiums

Charts

The charts indicate :

  1. Analysts' Consensus estimates
  2. Analysts' Consensus estimates (excluding outliers, i.e. high and low estimates)
  3. Range of Analysts' estimates (from high to low estimates)
Consensus chart 1
Consensus chart 2
Consensus chart 2
Consensus chart 4
Consensus chart 5
Consensus chart 6
Consensus chart 7
Consensus chart 8

PVNBP = Present value of new life insurance business premiums

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