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Sanlam's Consensus Estimates for 2017

The information was compiled as at 7 August 2017 based on input from South African sell-side analysts with current research coverage of Sanlam (SLMJ.J). A total of 5 analysts contributed. The information was based on the analysts’ forecasts as published in their most recent research reports. The next consensus figures will be available in February 2018.

Analysts' Consensus Estimates

The tables indicate:

  1. Analysts' Consensus estimates
  2. Analysts' Consensus estimates (excluding outliers, i.e. high and low estimates)
1H2017 High Low Consensus Consensus
(ex-high/low)
Net result from financial services cents per share 207 197 203 204
Normalised headline earnings cents per share 230 220 225.1 225.1
Dividend cents per share
VNB (net) R million 850 837 842.7 842
PVNBP (net) R million 34 200 28 892 30 665 30 078
PVNBP Margins (net) % 2.92% 2.46% 2.76% 2.80%
Group Equity Value R per share 57 53.2 54.9 54.8
SIM funds under management R billion 828 772 805 808

Net result from financial services

cents per share
High: 207
Low: 197
Consensus: 203
Consensus (ex-high/low): 204

Normalised headline earnings

cents per share
High: 230
Low: 220
Consensus: 225.1
Consensus (ex-high/low): 225.1

Dividend

cents per share
High: -
Low: -
Consensus: -
Consensus (ex-high/low): -

VNB (net)

R million
High: 850
Low: 837
Consensus: 842.7
Consensus (ex-high/low): 842

PVNBP (net)

R million
High: 34 200
Low: 28 892
Consensus: 30 665
Consensus (ex-high/low): 30 078

VNB Margins(net)

%
High: 2.92%
Low: 2.46%
Consensus: 2.76%
Consensus (ex-high/low): 2.80%

Group Equity Value

R per share
High: 57
Low: 53.2
Consensus: 54.9
Consensus (ex-high/low): 54.8

SIM funds under management

R billion
High: 828
Low: 772
Consensus: 805
Consensus (ex-high/low): 808
FY2017 High Low Consensus Consensus
(ex-high/low)
Net result from financial services cents per share 425 413 419.5 419.9
Normalised headline earnings cents per share 510 458 482.6 481.8
Dividend cents per share 295 281 288.3 288.7
VNB (net) R million 1 890 1 751 1 814 1 810
PVNBP (net) R million 69 000 60 659 64 072 63 566
PVNBP Margins (net) % 3.00% 2.70% 2.83% 2.85%
Group Equity Value R per share 61.4 55.4 58.7 58.9
SIM funds under management R billion 876 816 846 845

Net result from financial services

cents per share
High: 425
Low: 413
Consensus: 419.5
Consensus (ex-high/low): 419.9

Normalised headline earnings

cents per share
High: 510
Low: 458
Consensus: 482.6
Consensus (ex-high/low): 481.8

Dividend

cents per share
High: 295
Low: 281
Consensus: 288.3
Consensus (ex-high/low): 288.7

VNB (net)

R million
High: 1 890
Low: 1 751
Consensus: 1 814
Consensus (ex-high/low): 1 810

PVNBP (net)

R million
High: 69 000
Low: 60 659
Consensus: 64 072
Consensus (ex-high/low): 63 566

PVNBP Margins (net)

%
High: 3.00%
Low: 2.70%
Consensus: 2.83%
Consensus (ex-high/low): 2.85%

Group Equity Value

R per share
High: 61.4
Low: 55.4
Consensus: 58.7
Consensus (ex-high/low): 58.9

SIM funds under management

R billion
High: 876
Low: 816
Consensus: 846
Consensus (ex-high/low): 845

VNB = Value of new life insurance business
PVNBP = Present value of new life insurance business premiums

Charts

The charts indicate :

  1. Analysts' Consensus estimates
  2. Analysts' Consensus estimates (excluding outliers, i.e. high and low estimates)
  3. Range of Analysts' estimates (from high to low estimates)
Consensus chart 1
Consensus chart 2
Consensus chart 2
Consensus chart 4
Consensus chart 5
Consensus chart 6
Consensus chart 7
Consensus chart 8

PVNBP = Present value of new life insurance business premiums

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